I’ve been mulling over this Iran thing for a few days now, and the more I think about it the more twisted of a scenario I paint. Suppose, for a moment, that our fearless leaders have been planning all along to get into Iran after Iraq. That the recent revelation of discussions of nuclear strikes against Iranian weapons facilities was actually planned to make a conventional attack seem more reasonable – ‘see, we’re taking measured, appropriate steps to deal with the situation because we aren’t using pre-emptive nukes, aren’t we sensible.’ In the lead-up to the Iraq war, they were having trouble controlling the intel. Annoying UN inspectors, who had actually been in Iraq looking for WMD, were going against the party line, and people like Joe Wilson were checking on the intelligence and thereby messing with their nice, neat propaganda campaign. What if you could go back in time and make sure that there simply wasn’t any checkable intelligence? What if you could disrupt the entire intelligence network before anyone got into fact-checking? Then you would have to rely solely on informers, who are much easier to manipulate and keep track of than information is.
Is it possible that the leak of Valerie Plame’s identity as a covert agent was not, in fact, directed at her husband? That the purpose of her outing was to disrupt the intelligence network she worked in? You know, the network that investigates and keeps tabs on Middle-Eastern WMD, including Iran’s nuclear capacities? After all, if you out a key member of an intelligence team, anyone else on the team who can be associated with that member is put at risk. It is a reasonable assumption that a number of agents had to be pulled out or put in harm’s way by her outing. I’m not proposing that there was not an attempt to smear Wilson, the lies that have been publicly told about him by high ranking officials make that point indisputable. But what if, in the process of investigating Wilson in order to smear him, someone noticed his wife’s line of work and decided that they could kill two birds with one stone? That by outing her in the process of discrediting his arguments, they could lay the groundwork for the propaganda campaign leading up to the next war, the one in Iran?
I’m not saying this is what happened. But, given the track record, it’s not implausible.